Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Thomas Cannon 56' goal
  • Brad Potts 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhaimha 83'

Preston North End vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
QPR 0 - 2 Preston
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ched Evans

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tom Ince

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result

Preston North End 54.98% (-0.01)
Draw 24.03% (+0.01)
Reading 20.99% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.3% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.7% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.4% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.91% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.09% (+0.01)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 81.67% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.58% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.41% (+0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 61.28% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.54% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Preston North End 54.96%
Draw 24.02%
Reading 20.99%
Preston North End
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.02%
Reading
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.99%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 20
Nov 4, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Lucas Joao 71' goal
  • goal Ched Evans 51'
  • goal Ched Evans 79'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Daniel Johnson 57' goal
  • Cameron Archer 74' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Joao 2'
  • goal Lucas Joao 19'
  • goal John Swift 55'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Madejski Stadium
  • Femi Azeez 28' goal
  • Michael Morrison 59' yellowcard
  • Ethan Briston 66' yellowcard
  • John Swift 69' goal
  • Josh Laurent 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Johnson 61'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2021 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Jayson Molumby 65' yellowcard
  • Paul Huntington 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Ledson 87' yellowcard
  • Ben Whiteman 87' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Madejski Stadium
  • Josh Laurent 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darnell Fisher 15'
  • goal Scott Sinclair 64'
  • goal Emil Riis Jakobsen 68'
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 87'
  • goal Brad Potts 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal John Swift 12'
  • goal Lucas Joao 16'