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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
| 54.98% ( | 24.03% ( | 20.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( | 18.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( | 38.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.54% ( | 75.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.99% |