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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sheffield United logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Sheff Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)

Egan (28'), Bogle (59'), Ndiaye (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 1-1 Sheffield United

A repeat of the 5-2 humiliation would not go amiss for those in red and white, who may arguably be taking on Burnley at the perfect time as the Lancashire celebrations remain in full swing. Kompany will not allow a shred of complacency to creep in from his players, though, and we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this headline matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
51.09% (0.458 0.46) 25.49% (0.11 0.11) 23.42% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.899 -0.9)53.93% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.759 -0.76)75.38% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.17 -0.17)21.13% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.268 -0.27)53.98% (0.272 0.27)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-1.021 -1.02)38.17% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.996 -1)74.93% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 51.08%
    Sheffield United 23.42%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.08%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.42%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sheff Utd

Burnley
60.3%
Draw
16.4%
Sheffield United
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Sheff Utd
5-2
Burnley
Ndiaye (30'), McBurnie (48', 74'), Robinson (64'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Stevens (26')
Benson (17', 45')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Sheff Utd
Mee (32')
Lowton (45+2')

Stevens (72'), Burke (90+1')
Sep 17, 2020 5.30pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-1
Sheff Utd
Burnley win 5-4 on penalties
Vydra (67')
McGoldrick (4')
Jagielka (68'), Ampadu (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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