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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sheffield United logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Sheff Utd

Berg Gudmundsson (60', 70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
51.09% (0.458 0.46)25.49% (0.11 0.11)23.42% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.899 -0.9)53.93% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.759 -0.76)75.38% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.17 -0.17)21.13% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.268 -0.27)53.98% (0.272 0.27)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-1.021 -1.02)38.17% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.996 -1)74.93% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 51.08%
    Sheffield United 23.42%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.08%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.42%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sheff Utd

Burnley
60.3%
Draw
16.4%
Sheffield United
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Sheff Utd
5-2
Burnley
Ndiaye (30'), McBurnie (48', 74'), Robinson (64'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Stevens (26')
Benson (17', 45')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Sheff Utd
1-0
Burnley
McGoldrick (24')
Baldock (21'), Fleck (38'), Basham (65')

Dunne (88')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Sheff Utd
Mee (32')
Lowton (45+2')

Stevens (72'), Burke (90+1')
Sep 17, 2020 5.30pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-1
Sheff Utd
Burnley win 5-4 on penalties
Vydra (67')
McGoldrick (4')
Jagielka (68'), Ampadu (81')