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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Burnley |
| 24.36% ( | 24.07% | 51.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( | 47.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( | 33.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( | 70.39% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( | 18.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( | 49.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.36% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.56% |