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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Luton Town

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
28.21% (0.406 0.41)27.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)44.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.386 0.39)58.65% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.3 0.3)79.2% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.541 0.54)36.61% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.539 0.54)73.4% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 28.21%
    Luton Town 44.15%
    Draw 27.63%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Luton

Rotherham United
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0


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