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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 28.21% ( | 27.63% ( | 44.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( | 58.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( | 79.2% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% ( | 36.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.6% ( | 73.4% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.15% |