/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frotlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
-
Carlton Morris
45'
-
Cauley Woodrow
47'
Rotherham United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F14%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Rotherham United Goals
Luton Town Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
0-0 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%
Michael Smith
43'