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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
QPR logo

Burnley
1 - 2
QPR

Benson (76')
Harwood-Bellis (63'), Twine (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Armstrong (80'), Laird (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burnley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

This is the worst fixture possible for QPR at this time and we expect it to end in defeat. Burnley want to wrap up the second-tier crown in style, something we feel will be achieved with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
72.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.1% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)80.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.08%
    Queens Park Rangers 10.93%
    Draw 16.98%
BurnleyDrawQueens Park Rangers
2-0 @ 11.85%
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 16.98%
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs QPR

Burnley
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
Cork (52')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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