Championship Gameweek 44
Luton
Apr 24, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Tom Lockyer 49' goal
  • Carlton Morris 67' goal
  • goal Cameron Archer 40'

Luton Town vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Chuba Akpom

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 43.18% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.24)
Middlesbrough 31.93% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.98% ▼ (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.82% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 2.5 46.18% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 3.5 31.53% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 3.5 68.47% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 4.5 15.74% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 4.5 84.26% ▲ (+0.67)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.58% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 21.41% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.94)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 72.51% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 27.49% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 37.01% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 62.99% ▲ (+0.46)

Score analysis

Luton Town 43.18%
Draw 24.89%
Middlesbrough 31.93%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.24)
1-2 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.93%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Luton
  • Chuba Akpom 38' goal
  • Matt Crooks 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jordan Clark 33'
Championship Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Paddy McNair 17' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 87' goal
  • Joe Lumley 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Josh Coburn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 20'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 50'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 61'
  • goal Harry Cornick 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 16
Luton
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Daniel Potts 30' yellowcard
  • James Bree 31' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 57' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 60' goal
  • Harry Cornick 62' goal
  • Fred Onyedinma 70' yellowcard
  • Henri Lansbury 79' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Coburn 15'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 39'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 59'
  • yellowcard Duncan Watmore 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
Luton
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Glen Rea 19' goal
  • Glen Rea 75' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan Watmore 21'
Championship Gameweek 19
Middlesbrough
Dec 16, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Luton
  • Chuba Akpom 52' goal
  • Sam Morsy 66' redcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 75'
Championship Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Luton
  • Lewis Wing 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Tunnicliffe 17'
  • yellowcard Martin Cranie 38'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 43'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 78'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Brown 90'

Form Data

Reading 1 - 1 Luton
Rotherham 0 - 2 Luton
Luton 3 - 1 Blackpool
Millwall 0 - 0 Luton
Luton 2 - 0 Watford
Sunderland 1 - 1 Luton
Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Hull City
Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Norwich
Bristol City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Burnley
Huddersfield 4 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Preston