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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
30.76% (-0.924 -0.92)24.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.3% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.794 -0.79)46.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.747 -0.75)69.08% (0.74600000000001 0.75)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.99799999999999 -1)28.58% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-1.267 -1.27)64.37% (1.266 1.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.067 0.07)54.04% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.76%
    Middlesbrough 44.3%
    Draw 24.93%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
15.2%
Draw
17.4%
Middlesbrough
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm