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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
30.76% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() | 44.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% (![]() | 46.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% (![]() | 69.08% (![]() |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% (![]() | 28.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% (![]() | 64.37% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% (![]() | 21.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.96% (![]() | 54.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 39 |
3 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Southampton | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Hull City | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
7 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
8 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 27 |
10 | Sunderland | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
12 | Bristol City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
13 | Watford | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 24 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 23 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 22 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Swansea CitySwansea | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
19 | Millwall | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 19 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 16 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
23 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 12 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 6 |
> Championship Full Table |