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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 30.76% ( | 24.94% ( | 44.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( | 46.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( | 69.08% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( | 21.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% ( | 54.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.3% |