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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
63.66% (-0.788 -0.79)20.24% (0.261 0.26)16.1% (0.529 0.53)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (-0.16 -0.16)41.94% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.161 -0.16)64.34% (0.163 0.16)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.268 -0.27)12.51% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (-0.564 -0.56)38.52% (0.564 0.56)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.575 0.57)39.12% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.536 0.54)75.83% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 63.65%
    Hull City 16.1%
    Draw 20.24%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
85.9%
Draw
7.8%
Hull City
6.3%
64
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')
Nov 24, 2019 12pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Hull City
Tavernier (7'), Fletcher (27')
Clayton (55'), Dijksteel (92')
Johnson (37')
Bowen (71', 75')
de Wijs (65')