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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
| 63.66% ( | 20.24% ( | 16.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( | 41.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( | 64.34% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( | 12.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.47% ( | 38.52% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( | 39.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( | 75.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.1% |