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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
63.66% ( -0.79) | 20.24% ( 0.26) | 16.1% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( -0.16) | 41.94% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -0.16) | 64.34% ( 0.16) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( -0.27) | 12.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( -0.56) | 38.52% ( 0.56) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( 0.57) | 39.12% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% ( 0.54) | 75.83% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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