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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Akpom (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sayyadmanesh (41')
Vaughan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Norwich
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Hull City

Middlesbrough still have a slim chance of earning a top-two finish after destroying Norwich last time out, and despite injuries, Carrick's men will be confident of beating Hull. The Tigers did very well to earn a point at Ewood Park against Blackburn on Saturday, but we believe they will not be able to achieve back-to-back away results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
63.66% (-0.788 -0.79) 20.24% (0.261 0.26) 16.1% (0.529 0.53)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (-0.16 -0.16)41.94% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.161 -0.16)64.34% (0.163 0.16)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.268 -0.27)12.51% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (-0.564 -0.56)38.52% (0.564 0.56)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.575 0.57)39.12% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.536 0.54)75.83% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 63.65%
    Hull City 16.1%
    Draw 20.24%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
85.9%
Draw
7.8%
Hull City
6.3%
64
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')
Nov 24, 2019 12pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Hull City
Tavernier (7'), Fletcher (27')
Clayton (55'), Dijksteel (92')
Johnson (37')
Bowen (71', 75')
de Wijs (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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