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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Luton Town

Reading
1 - 1
Luton

Carroll (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Reading and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLuton Town
19.68% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.28% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.73% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)59.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)79.8% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (0.058 0.06)45.19% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)81.08% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.04% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.38% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Reading 19.68%
    Luton Town 54.27%
    Draw 26.03%
ReadingDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 4.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.68%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 15.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.27%

How you voted: Reading vs Luton

Reading
19.0%
Draw
12.7%
Luton Town
68.3%
63
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Reading
0-2
Luton

Drinkwater (90'), Joao (90+1')
Holmes (33' og.), Campbell (58')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Luton
1-0
Reading
Moncur (30')
Hylton (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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