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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 19.68% ( | 26.04% ( | 54.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( | 59.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( | 79.8% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( | 45.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( | 81.08% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( | 55.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 4.75% ( 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 3-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.68% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 3.59% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 15.06% ( 0-2 @ 11.38% ( 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.27% |