Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.