Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 0
Preston

Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Preston North End
46.6% ( -0.45)	28.03% ( 0.16)	25.36% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 43.67% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.54% (

-0.37)

61.46% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.66% (

-0.28)

81.34% (

0.28)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

-0.39)

26.47% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-0.52)

61.65% (

0.52)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.39% (

0.05)

40.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

0.04)

77.21% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Millwall 46.59%

Preston North End 25.36%

Draw 28.02%

Millwall	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.36%