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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Preston North End logo
Millwall
2 - 0
Preston
Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whiteman (51'), Onomah (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Preston North End

With these two teams in contrasting form, many will back Preston to edge the contest in East London. Nevertheless, Millwall's recent two defeats have only come by narrow margins, and we feel that the Lions will do enough to earn a draw in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
46.6% (-0.448 -0.45) 28.03% (0.165 0.16) 25.36% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.369 -0.37)61.46% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.277 -0.28)81.34% (0.277 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-0.393 -0.39)26.47% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.524 -0.52)61.65% (0.523 0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)77.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.59%
    Preston North End 25.36%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Preston

Millwall
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Preston North End
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester17140331102142
2Ipswich TownIpswich17123236231339
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1895429171232
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1795328171132
5Southampton179442827131
6Hull City188642822630
7Preston North EndPreston188462430-628
8Cardiff CityCardiff188372721627
9Middlesbrough188372926327
10Sunderland178272719826
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn178182726125
12Bristol City177461918125
13Watford186662622424
14Norwich CityNorwich187293235-323
15Coventry CityCoventry185762321222
16Birmingham CityBirmingham176472123-222
17Stoke CityStoke186391825-721
18Swansea CitySwansea175572423120
19Millwall175571922-320
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth185492928119
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield173771529-1416
22Queens Park RangersQPR1834111530-1513
23Rotherham UnitedRotherham1826101737-2012
24Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds171313829-216

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