Championship

Championship | 1st Leg

May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Luton

(Luton Town win 3-2 on aggregate)

Diallo (39'), Hume (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adebayo (11')

The Match

Match Report

Sunderland overturn an early deficit to record a 2-1 victory over Luton Town in the first leg of their Championship playoff semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 0-3 Sunderland
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Hull City
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
33.3% ( -0.01)	27.95%	38.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

-0)

58.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1%

78.9% (

-0)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

-0.01)

32.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.01)

69.18% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

29.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

65.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 33.3%

Luton Town 38.75%

Draw 27.94%

Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.3%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.75%