Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.