Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Godden 36' goal
  • Gustavo Hamer 54' goal
  • goal Lucas Joao 51'

Coventry City vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Blackburn 1 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tom Ince

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result

Coventry City 58.07% (-1.87)
Draw 24.03% (+0.82)
Reading 17.91% (+1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.27% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.47% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 54.53% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 24.12% (-1.32)
Under 3.5 75.89% (+1.32)
Over 4.5 10.8% (-0.83)
Under 4.5 89.2% (+0.84)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5 81.4% (-1.25)
Under 0.5 18.6% (+1.26)
Over 1.5 50.11% (-2.15)
Under 1.5 49.89% (+2.15)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 55.61% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 44.39% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 19.56% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 80.44% (-0.31)

Score analysis

Coventry City 58.06%
Draw 24.02%
Reading 17.91%
Coventry City
1-0 @ 13.88% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 11.68% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.41)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.28)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.09)
Other @ 4%
Total : 58.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 8.26% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.02%
Reading
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.47)
1-2 @ 4.58% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.72% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.91%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Amadou Mbengue 57' goal
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lucas Joao 23' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 55' goal
  • Junior Hoilett 57' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 63' redcard
  • Tom Holmes 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Bidwell 14'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Hamer 29'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 37'
  • goal Dominic Hyam 45'+1'
  • goal Michael Rose 47'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Sheaf 72'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 88'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dominic Hyam 5' yellowcard
  • Ian Maatsen 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie Allen 62' goal
  • Callum O'Hare 78' yellowcard
  • Ben Sheaf 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 90'+8' goal
  • goal John Swift 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Dele-Bashiru 50'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 75'
  • yellowcard Jahmari Clarke 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 19, 2021 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Madejski Stadium
  • Lucas Joao 16' goal
  • Tom Holmes 29' yellowcard
  • Andy Rinomhota 46' goal
  • John Swift 72' goal
  • Lucas Joao 87' yellowcard
  • Michael Morrison 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 60'
  • redcard Kyle McFadzean 71'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 80'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 30, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ricoh Arena
  • Gustavo Hamer 23' goal
  • Leo Skiri Oestigaard 39' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 42' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 76' goal
  • Michael Rose 79' yellowcard
  • Dominic Hyam 83' yellowcard
  • Sam McCallum 85' goal
  • Marko Marosi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Joao 66'
  • goal George Puscas 90'+1'
Championship
Feb 11, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jimmy Kebe 25' goal
  • Jason Roberts 43' goal
  • Mikele Leigertwood 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 28'
  • yellowcard Martin Cranie 40'