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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Reading logo

Coventry
2 - 1
Reading

Godden (36'), Hamer (54')
Wilson-Esbrand (61'), Hamer (81'), Eccles (87'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (51')
Holmes (12'), Guinness-Walker (43'), Yiadom (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-0 Reading

Coventry will be buoyed following their dramatic equaliser at Blackburn on Wednesday, and Robins's men can bring that momentum into a home tie with a struggling Reading outfit. The Royals deserve plaudits for holding both Luton and Burnley to draws over the past week, but the Berkshire club's woeful away form points towards a defeat in the West Midlands on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawReading
58.07% (-1.863 -1.86) 24.03% (0.818 0.82) 17.91% (1.048 1.05)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (-1.562 -1.56)54.53% (1.563 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-1.314 -1.31)75.89% (1.317 1.32)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-1.249 -1.25)18.6% (1.251 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (-2.149 -2.15)49.89% (2.15 2.15)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (0.378 0.38)44.39% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (0.308 0.31)80.44% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 58.06%
    Reading 17.91%
    Draw 24.02%
Coventry CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 11.68% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.408 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.49 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.215 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Reading

Coventry City
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Reading
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 22
Reading
1-0
Coventry
Mbengue (57')

Doyle (29')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Reading
2-3
Coventry
Joao (23'), Yiadom (55')
Hoilett (57'), Holmes (84')
Hoilett (63')
Hyam (45+1'), Rose (47'), Maatsen (65')
Bidwell (14'), Hamer (29'), Hyam (37'), Sheaf (72'), Maatsen (88')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Coventry
2-1
Reading
Allen (62'), Godden (90+8')
Hyam (5'), Maatsen (45'), O'Hare (78'), Sheaf (90+4'), Hamer (90+5')
Swift (40' pen.)
Dele-Bashiru (50'), Rinomhota (75'), Clarke (90+1'), (90+8')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
gameweek 25
Reading
3-0
Coventry
Joao (16'), Rinomhota (46'), Swift (72')
Holmes (29'), Joao (87'), Morrison (90')

McFadzean (60'), Skiri Oestigaard (80')
McFadzean (71')
Oct 30, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Coventry
3-2
Reading
Hamer (23'), Godden (76'), McCallum (85')
Skiri Oestigaard (39'), Hamer (42'), Rose (79'), Hyam (83'), Marosi (87')
Joao (66'), Puscas (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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