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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
| 58.07% ( | 24.03% ( | 17.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( | 18.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( | 49.89% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.56% ( | 80.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 2-0 @ 11.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.91% |