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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
58.07% ( -1.86) | 24.03% ( 0.82) | 17.91% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% ( -1.56) | 54.53% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% ( -1.31) | 75.89% ( 1.32) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -1.25) | 18.6% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.11% ( -2.15) | 49.89% ( 2.15) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% ( 0.38) | 44.39% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% ( 0.31) | 80.44% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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