Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.