Club Friendlies

Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chelsea
1 - 1
Dortmund

Burstow (89')
James (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wolf (80')
Ozcan (61')

Reaction

France's Christopher Nkunku leaves the training pitch after sustaining an injury on November 15, 2022

Chelsea forward Christopher Nkunku suffers knee injury in Borussia Dortmund friendly

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino says that Chelsea will 'take a few days' to assess the knee injury sustained by Christopher Nkunku in a friendly against Borussia Dortmund.

Aug 3, 08:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Fulham
Sunday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Dortmund
Monday, July 31 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
30.6% ( 3.64)	22.04% ( 0.46)	47.36% ( -4.11)

Both teams to score 66.67% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.82% (

0.3)

33.18% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.07% (

0.35)

54.93% (

-0.35)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

2.4)

21.94% (

-2.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

3.51)

55.22% (

-3.51)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

-1.22)

14.59% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.33% (

-2.41)

42.67% (

2.41)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 30.6%

Borussia Dortmund 47.36%

Draw 22.04%

Chelsea	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.41% Total : 30.6%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.39) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.2) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.36%