/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Diogo Dalot
24'
-
Omari Forson
29'
-
Antony
52'
-
Karim Adeyemi
29'
-
Mats Hummels
36'
-
Donyell Malen
43'
-
Donyell Malen
44'
-
Youssoufa Moukoko
71'
Manchester United vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Ferik-ten-hag.JPG)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F31%2Famad-diallo.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Flisandro-martinez.jpeg)
The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fkobbie-mainoo_1.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Futdars.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Manchester United
28.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
22.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Borussia Dortmund
49.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
64.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
34.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
43.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
56.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
24.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
75.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
75.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
24.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
41.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
58.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
85.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
14.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
57.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
42.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Manchester United
28.33%
Draw
22.08%
Borussia Dortmund
49.59%
Manchester United
2-1
@
6.82%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.33%
1-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.33%
Draw
1-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.08%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.08%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
9.28%
0-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 49.59%
0-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 49.59%