Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Noam Emeran 67' goal
  • Joe Hugill 81' goal

Manchester United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result

Manchester United 67.32% (+0.21)
Draw 19.09% (-0.10)
Leeds United 13.58% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.77% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.98% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 42.01% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 35.58% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 64.41% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 18.7% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 81.29% (-0.15)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 88.47% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 11.52% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 63.57% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 36.43% (-0.24)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 57.39% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 42.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.04% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 78.96% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Manchester United 67.32%
Draw 19.09%
Leeds United 13.58%
Manchester United
2-0 @ 11.46% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.26% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.04% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.46% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 67.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.09%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.58%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Marcus Rashford 80'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 85'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Feb 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 62' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 70' goal
  • goal Willy Gnonto 1'
  • goal Raphael Varane 48' (OG)
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 20, 2022 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Rodrigo 53' goal
  • Raphinha 54' goal
  • Pascal Struijk 61' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Forshaw 76' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 81' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Maguire 34'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 56'
  • goal Fred 70'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 78'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 88'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Fernandes 30' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 52' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 54' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 60' goal
  • Fred 68' goal
  • Luke Shaw 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Ayling 48'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 59'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 62'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Ayling 37' yellowcard
  • Tyler Roberts 39' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 64' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 68' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 70' yellowcard
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 4.30pm
6
2
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Scott McTominay 2' goal
  • Scott McTominay 3' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 20' goal
  • Victor Lindelof 37' goal
  • Daniel James 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 66' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 70' goal
  • goal Liam Cooper 41'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 73'

Build-up

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