Premier League Gameweek 37
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Casemiro 9'

Bournemouth vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Bournemouth
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Philip Billing

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Marcus Rashford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 27.8% (+0.02)
Draw 23.45% (+0.01)
Manchester United 48.75% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.2% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.79% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.8% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.2% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.87% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.13% (+0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 71.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.73% (-0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 82.67% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 27.8%
Draw 23.44%
Manchester United 48.75%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 27.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.44%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.75%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casemiro 23' goal
  • Luke Shaw 49' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 86' goal
Premier League Gameweek 33
Jul 4, 2020 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Mason Greenwood 29' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 35' goal
  • Anthony Martial 45'+2' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 54' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 59' goal
  • goal Junior Stanislas 15'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 31'
  • goal Joshua King 49'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2019 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 35' yellowcard
  • Joshua King 45' goal
  • Steve Cook 55' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fraser 62' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fred 35'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 64'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 67'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2018 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Paul Pogba 5' goal
  • Paul Pogba 33' goal
  • Ashley Young 36' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 45' goal
  • Ander Herrera 51' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 72' goal
  • Eric Bailly 79' redcard
  • goal Nathan Ake 45'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2018 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Callum Wilson 11' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 58' yellowcard
  • Junior Stanislas 63' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 64' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 83' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Martial 35'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 54'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 82'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 90'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 90'
Premier League
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lewis Cook 49' yellowcard
  • Steve Cook 62' yellowcard
  • Andrew Surman 68' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Smalling 28'
  • yellowcard Chris Smalling 61'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 70'

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