Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Wrexham win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.