National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ndlovu (1')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham are crowned champions of the National League courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Boreham Wood, earning promotion to League Two in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

112

Top scorers

Boreham Wood

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Boreham Wood
70.26% ( 4.09)	17.92% ( -1.29)	11.83% ( -2.8)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-3.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04% (

-0.76)

40.95% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66% (

-0.78)

63.34% (

0.78)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.53% (

0.84)

10.47% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.91% (

1.87)

34.09% (

-1.87)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

-4.75)

44.72% (

4.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

-4.09)

80.71% (

4.08)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 70.25%

Boreham Wood 11.83%

Draw 17.92%

Wrexham	Draw	Boreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 1.19) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( 1.17) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.38) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.43) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.19% Total : 70.25%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.92%	0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.83%