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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Boreham Wood

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ndlovu (1')
Ilesanmi (30')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham are crowned champions of the National League courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Boreham Wood, earning promotion to League Two in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
70.26% (4.088 4.09) 17.92% (-1.293 -1.29) 11.83% (-2.795 -2.8)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-3.745 -3.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.758 -0.76)40.95% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.778 -0.78)63.34% (0.777 0.78)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.842 0.84)10.47% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.91% (1.871 1.87)34.09% (-1.871 -1.87)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-4.749 -4.75)44.72% (4.748 4.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-4.085 -4.09)80.71% (4.084 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 70.25%
    Boreham Wood 11.83%
    Draw 17.92%
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% (1.19 1.19)
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.706 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 8.97% (1.169 1.17)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.81 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.375 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Boreham Wood

Wrexham
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Boreham Wood
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Newton (30')
Hayden (52')
Jones (32')
May 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Marsh (89' pen.)
Evans (41')
Fyfield (38')
Mullin (54')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Wrexham
4-2
Boreham Wood
Palmer (15'), Hayden (61'), Jones (66'), Mullin (70')
Boden (38'), Marsh (68')
Stephens (32'), Boden (38'), Smith (42')
May 15, 2021 3pm
gameweek 53
Boreham Wood
2-3
Wrexham
Smith (18'), Tshimanga (45')
Champion (30'), Fyfield (90')
Champion (74')
Hall-Johnson (59', 88'), Ponticelli (86')
Lainton (57')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Wrexham
2-1
Boreham Wood
Hall-Johnson (27'), Young (69')
(8'), Vassell (36'), Hall-Johnson (60')
Murtagh (60')
Ricketts (45'), Murtagh (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
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1York City21135343192444
2Barnet21142542241844
3Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton219572926332
8AltrinchamAltrincham218763528731
9Solihull MoorsSolihull219483734331
10Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
11Halifax TownHalifax218762119231
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot215792835-722
18Woking2156101928-921
19Fylde2163122541-1621
20WealdstoneWealdstone204882229-720
21Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2116141546-319


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