National League
Gameweek
43
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F09%2Fnocou_1.png)
-
Paul Mullin
48'
-
Jacob Mendy
69'
-
Elliot Lee
78'
-
John Bostock
45'+4'
-
Kyle Cameron
75'
Wrexham vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F15%2Fwrexham.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fjames-jones.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
61.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
18.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Notts County
20.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
70.83%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
76.4%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
23.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
56.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
43.05%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
37.4%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
62.59%
▲
(+0.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
92.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
7.78%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
72.34%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
27.65%
▲
(+0.08)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5
76.81%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
23.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
42.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
57.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Wrexham
61.16%
Draw
18.14%
Notts County
20.69%
Wrexham
2-1
@
8.6%
▲
(+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 61.16%
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 61.16%
Draw
1-1
@
6.73%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.14%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.14%
Notts County
1-2
@
4.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 20.69%
2-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 20.69%
Head to Head
National League
Gameweek
13
-
Macaulay Langstaff
13'
National League
Gameweek
23
-
Kyle Wootton
10'
-
Kyle Cameron
17'
-
Kyle Wootton
39'
-
Manny Smith
49'
-
Jayden Richardson
67'
-
Alex Lacey
75'
-
Reece Hall-Johnson
4'
-
Harry Lennon
9'
-
Bryce Hosannah
21'
-
Ben Tozer
68'
-
Aaron Hayden
68'
National League
Gameweek
3
-
Paul Mullin
53'
-
Jordan Davies
65'
-
Kyle Wootton
44'
-
Edward Francis
52'
-
Jim O'Brien
55'
-
Cal Roberts
64'
-
Ruben Rodrigues
85'
National League
Gameweek
31
-
Gold Omotayo
75'
-
Ruben Rodrigues
24'
-
Jake Reeves
27'
-
Kyle Wootton
73'
National League
Gameweek
43
-
Enzio Boldewijn
25'
-
Kyle Wootton
45'
-
Jordan Barnett
54'
-
Connell Rawlinson
69'
-
Mark Ellis
80'
-
Kyle Wootton
90'
-
Reece Hall-Johnson
73'
National League
Gameweek
55