National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Wrexham3 - 2Notts County
The Match
Match Report
Ben Foster saves a 97th-minute penalty as Wrexham take a giant step towards promotion from the National League with a 3-2 victory over rivals Notts County.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between Wrexham and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Wealdstone
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
106
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
61.16% ( -0.04) | 18.14% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 70.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
