National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Adam Chicksen 8' goal
  • Ben Richards-Everton 11' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 73' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 76' goal

Notts County vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Barnet 1 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
117
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 4 - 1 Wealdstone
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Joe Nuttall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 80.8%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 80.8%
Draw 12.36%
Scunthorpe United 6.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.32%

Goals

Over 2.5 69.82%
Under 2.5 30.17%
Over 3.5 48.6%
Under 3.5 51.4%
Over 4.5 29.46%
Under 4.5 70.53%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 94.3%
Under 0.5 5.7%
Over 1.5 77.98%
Under 1.5 22.02%

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 52.3%
Under 0.5 47.7%
Over 1.5 16.99%
Under 1.5 83.01%

Score analysis

Notts County 80.79%
Draw 12.36%
Scunthorpe United 6.84%
Notts County
2-0 @ 11.15%
3-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 7.79%
4-0 @ 7.63%
4-1 @ 5.65%
5-0 @ 4.37%
5-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 2.09%
6-0 @ 2.09%
6-1 @ 1.55%
5-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 80.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 3.06%
0-0 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 12.36%
Scunthorpe United
1-2 @ 2.13%
0-1 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 6.84%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Caolan Lavery 19' goal
  • goal Quevin de Castro 23'
  • goal Jim O'Brien 33'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 40'
  • goal Cedwyn Scott 85'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Goode 43' yellowcard
  • Paddy Madden 69' goal
  • Sam Mantom 84' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 86' goal
  • Paddy Madden 105' goal
  • Conor Townsend 108' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Grant 22'
  • yellowcard Jon Stead 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 79'
  • goal Shaun Brisley 92'
  • goal Ryan Yates 117'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 100' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 115' goal
League One
Mar 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Jones 10' goal
  • Alan Smith 34' yellowcard
  • Balint Bajner 73' goal
  • Jordan Williams 77' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Robinson 1'
  • yellowcard Paddy Madden 6'
  • yellowcard Gary McSheffrey 44'
  • goal Niall Canavan 86'
  • yellowcard Theo Robinson 91'
League One
Oct 25, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Madden 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Olejnik 88' yellowcard
  • Isaiah Osbourne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hollis 40'
  • goal Zeli Ismail 89'
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 90'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Paddy Madden 14' goal
  • Paddy Madden 76' yellowcard
  • goal Steven McLaughlin 23'
  • goal Ronan Murray 32'
  • yellowcard Garry Thompson 77'