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Gateshead
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Scunthorpe United
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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Scunthorpe United

Notts County
4 - 0
Scunthorpe

Chicksen (8'), Richards-Everton (11' og.), Langstaff (73', 76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Notts County and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 80.8%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawScunthorpe United
80.8%12.36%6.84%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.82%30.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.6%51.4%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.3%5.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.98%22.02%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3%47.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99%83.01%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 80.79%
    Scunthorpe United 6.84%
    Draw 12.36%
Notts CountyDrawScunthorpe United
2-0 @ 11.15%
3-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 7.79%
4-0 @ 7.63%
4-1 @ 5.65%
5-0 @ 4.37%
5-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 2.09%
6-0 @ 2.09%
6-1 @ 1.55%
5-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 80.79%
1-1 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 3.06%
0-0 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 12.36%
1-2 @ 2.13%
0-1 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 6.84%

How you voted: Notts County vs Scunthorpe

Notts County
62.5%
Draw
16.7%
Scunthorpe United
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Scunthorpe
1-4
Notts County
Lavery (19')
Apter (34')
De Castro (23'), O'Brien (33'), Langstaff (40'), Scott (85')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Scunthorpe
3-3
Notts County
 Scunthorpe win 6-5 on penalties
Madden (69' pen., 105'), Holmes (86')
Goode (43'), Mantom (84'), Townsend (108')
Grant (22'), Brisley (92'), Yates (117')
Stead (45'), Yates (79')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Round One
Scunthorpe
2-0
Notts County
Van Veen (100', 115')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-2
Scunthorpe
Jones (10'), Bajner (73')
Smith (34'), Williams (77')
Robinson (1'), Canavan (86')
Madden (6'), McSheffrey (44'), Robinson (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Scunthorpe
0-1
Notts County

Madden (65'), Olejnik (88'), Osbourne (90')
Ismail (89' pen.)
Hollis (40'), Ismail (90')