National League | Gameweek 28

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Damson Park

Solihull
3 - 1
Scunthorpe

Kelly (15', 90+3'), Sbarra (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Smith (35')

Coverage of the National League clash between Solihull Moors and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solihull Moors

All competitions

Last Game: Solihull 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.

Result
Solihull Moors	Draw	Scunthorpe United
59.1% ( 0.02)	22.32% ( -0.01)	18.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

0.04)

46.83% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

0.03)

69.09% (

-0.04)

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

0.02)

15.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

0.04)

44.37% (

-0.04)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.92% (

0.01)

39.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2% (

0.01)

75.8% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Solihull Moors 59.09%

Scunthorpe United 18.58%

Draw 22.31%

Solihull Moors	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.09%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.58%