Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Torquay United |
53.46% ( 1.41) | 23.47% ( -0.58) | 23.08% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( 1.65) | 46.06% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( 1.54) | 68.37% ( -1.54) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( 1.14) | 17.17% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% ( 1.97) | 47.43% ( -1.97) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( 0.17) | 34.12% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( 0.18) | 70.81% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Torquay United |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.85% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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