Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
43.15% ( 0.01) | 25.19% ( -0) | 31.65% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% ( 0.01) | 47.6% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.19% ( 0) | 69.8% ( -0) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% ( 0) | 22.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.64% ( 0.01) | 55.35% ( -0.01) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( -0) | 28.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( -0) | 64.11% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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