Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 53.55% ( | 22.15% ( | 24.29% |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( | 38.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( | 61.15% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( | 14.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.37% ( | 42.63% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3% ( 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.29% |