Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
48.2% ( -0.61) | 23.51% ( 0.23) | 28.29% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.26% ( -0.82) | 41.74% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% ( -0.83) | 64.14% ( 0.84) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( -0.54) | 17.52% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.97% ( -0.96) | 48.03% ( 0.96) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( -0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0.2) | 63.25% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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