Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.