Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
| 29.58% ( | 23.03% ( | 47.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.36% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( | 60.94% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( | 16.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( | 46.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 4.34% Total : 47.38% |