Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 30.24% ( | 24.72% ( | 45.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( | 46.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( | 68.42% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( | 20.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.24% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.04% |