Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 67.57% ( | 17.77% ( | 14.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.92% ( | 33.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.19% ( | 54.81% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.99% ( | 9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.32% ( | 30.68% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 4-1 @ 4.63% 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 4% ( 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 5-1 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.95% Total : 67.57% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0-1 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.66% |