National League | Gameweek 31

Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 3-3 Sheff Utd
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Wrexham
22.25% ( 0.04)	22.76% ( 0.02)	54.98% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-0.05)

43.89% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-0.05)

66.28% (

0.05)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

33.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

0.01)

70.31% (

-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

-0.04)

15.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

-0.07)

45.05% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 22.25%

Wrexham 54.98%

Draw 22.76%

Altrincham	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.98%