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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')
Hulme (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')
O'Connor (3'), Young (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 0-3 Wrexham

Wrexham displayed that they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with a promotion-chasing Championship side last weekend, so they should have no trouble sweeping Altrincham aside. Mullin has been in inspired form, and he is likely to get in on the act again, in what should be a resounding victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
22.25% (0.035 0.04) 22.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 54.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.052 -0.05)43.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)15.85% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.07 -0.07)45.05% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.25%
    Wrexham 54.98%
    Draw 22.76%
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.98%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wrexham

Altrincham
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Davies (2'), Mullin (28', 33'), Palmer (35')
Young (56'), Jones (72')

Jones (40'), Osborne (65')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City21135343192444
2Barnet21142542241844
3Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton219572926332
8AltrinchamAltrincham218763528731
9Solihull MoorsSolihull219483734331
10Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
11Halifax TownHalifax218762119231
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot215792835-722
18Woking2156101928-921
19Fylde2163122541-1621
20WealdstoneWealdstone204882229-720
21Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2116141546-319


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