Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Wrexham |
| 34.03% ( | 24.09% ( | 41.88% |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( | 41.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( | 64.22% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( | 58.44% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% ( | 52.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.88% |