Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Gateshead |
41.01% ( 0.01) | 22.69% ( -0) | 36.3% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.63% ( 0.01) | 34.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.71% ( 0.01) | 56.29% ( -0.01) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% ( 0.01) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% ( 0.02) | 47.9% ( -0.02) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( -0) | 19.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% ( -0.01) | 51.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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