Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
| 50.13% ( | 23.19% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( | 41.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( | 16.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( | 46.59% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( | 64.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.68% |