Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 49.19% ( | 23.41% | 27.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( | 41.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( | 64.35% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( | 17.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% | 47.51% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( | 28.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( | 64.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 27.39% |