Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
26.78% ( -0.09) | 23.66% ( -0.07) | 49.56% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( 0.24) | 43.54% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( 0.23) | 65.94% ( -0.23) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0.06) | 29.72% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( 0.07) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% ( 0.15) | 17.68% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.68% ( 0.26) | 48.32% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.78% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 49.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |