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National League | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Maidstone United

York City
4 - 1
Maidstone

Forde (6', 39', 82'), Zouma (9' og.)
FT(HT: 3-1)
Barham (1')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 2-2 York City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Dag & Red
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawMaidstone United
46.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.53% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.83% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)44.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)66.88% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)51.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.012 -0.01)28.25% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)63.96% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.2%
    Maidstone United 29.53%
    Draw 24.28%
York CityDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Maidstone
2-1
York City
Corne (79', 81')
Woods (48')
John-Lewis (10')
Pybus (44')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 12.15pm
Maidstone
1-1
York City
Taylor (22')
Flisher (36'), Driver (77'), Dumaka (78')
Kamdjo (69')
Higgins (56')