Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.