National League | Gameweek 24

Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Meadowbank

Dorking
3 - 2
Maidstone

McShane (6'), Taylor (90+2', 90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barham (22'), Deacon (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidstone United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Altrincham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Maidstone United
49.85% ( 0.09)	21.95% ( -0.03)	28.2% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 65.25% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.67% (

0.11)

34.33% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.76% (

0.13)

56.24% (

-0.13)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.81% (

0.07)

14.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.11% (

0.14)

41.89% (

-0.14)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

0.02)

23.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

0.03)

58.2% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 49.85%

Maidstone United 28.2%

Draw 21.95%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Maidstone United
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.2%