Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
53.33% ( -0.7) | 23.83% ( 0.68) | 22.83% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( -2.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -2.93) | 47.88% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -2.76) | 70.06% ( 2.75) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( -1.33) | 17.89% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.32% ( -2.34) | 48.68% ( 2.33) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -1.61) | 35.35% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( -1.71) | 72.1% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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