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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Barnet

Notts County
4 - 1
Barnet

Scott (57'), Chicksen (76'), Langstaff (81'), Jones (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, February 11 at 5.20pm in National League

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Halifax 1-3 Barnet
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawBarnet
69.74% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)17.84% (0.454 0.45)12.42% (0.467 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.7% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (-0.931 -0.93)39.04% (0.935 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (-0.984 -0.98)61.37% (0.987 0.99)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.92% (-0.467 -0.47)10.08% (0.4691 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.79% (-1.086 -1.09)33.21% (1.089 1.09)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (0.152 0.15)42.51% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (0.126 0.13)78.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 69.74%
    Barnet 12.42%
    Draw 17.84%
Notts CountyDrawBarnet
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.63% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.95% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 69.74%
1-1 @ 8.41% (0.231 0.23)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.42%

How you voted: Notts County vs Barnet

Notts County
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barnet
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
6-1
Barnet
Smith (7', 29'), Roberts (11'), Rodrigues (48'), Wootton (72'), Palmer (90+1')
Chicksen (63')
Mason-Clark (66')
Richards-Everton (45'), Taylor (59'), Howe (88')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Barnet
0-5
Notts County

Turley (22'), Tasdemir (90')
Doherty (66')
Rodrigues (47', 54'), Roberts (68' pen.), Wootton (79'), O'Brien (90+5')
Cameron (58'), Brindley (90')
May 8, 2021 3pm
Barnet
1-4
Notts County
Petrasso (89')
Vaughan (45')
Ellis (45'), Rodrigues (46'), Richards-Everton (54' og.), Boldewijn (85')
Reeves (29')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Notts County
4-2
Barnet
Roberts (14'), Wootton (17'), Boldewijn (23'), Doyle (90+3')
Rawlinson (22')
Hooper (45+1', 75')
Duffus (4'), Nugent (66'), Preston (71')
Jul 25, 2020 5pm
Notts County
2-0
Barnet
Dennis (37'), Roberts (59')
Roberts (64')