Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
69.74% ( -0.92) | 17.84% ( 0.45) | 12.42% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( -0.93) | 39.04% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.63% ( -0.98) | 61.37% ( 0.99) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.92% ( -0.47) | 10.08% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.79% ( -1.09) | 33.21% ( 1.09) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% ( 0.15) | 42.51% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( 0.13) | 78.87% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Barnet |
2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.6% Total : 69.74% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.02% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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