Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 16.67% ( | 18.97% ( | 64.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( | 70.66% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( | 10.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.47% ( | 33.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 1-0 @ 3.75% 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.67% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-3 @ 6.87% ( 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 4% ( 0-4 @ 3.92% ( 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 1-5 @ 1.93% 0-5 @ 1.79% 2-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 64.36% |