Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
16.67% ( 0.01) | 18.97% ( -0) | 64.36% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.25% ( 0.01) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.29% ( 0.01) | 56.71% ( -0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( 0.01) | 33.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( 0.01) | 70.66% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.78% ( 0) | 10.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.47% ( 0) | 33.53% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.75% 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.67% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-3 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.93% 0-5 @ 1.79% 2-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.19% Total : 64.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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