National League | Gameweek 25

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
4 - 1
Oldham

Scott (4', 43'), Cameron (9'), Rodrigues (41')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Nuttall (5')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Gateshead
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Oldham 3-2 Torquay Utd
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Oldham Athletic
62.96% ( 0.14)	20.37% ( -0.01)	16.67% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

-0.17)

41.43% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

-0.17)

63.83% (

0.18)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45% (

-0.01)

12.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.39% (

-0.03)

38.61% (

0.03)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91% (

-0.25)

38.09% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

-0.25)

74.86% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Notts County 62.95%

Oldham Athletic 16.67%

Draw 20.37%

Notts County	Draw	Oldham Athletic
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.95%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.67%