National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Oldham3 - 2Torquay Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Torquay United
There is not too much separating the teams in the league standings, so we expect them to play out a score draw on Sunday. Torquay have been in better recent form, and may have a slight edge, but with the game being at Boundary Park, Oldham should be able to do enough to get a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Torquay United |
51.88% ( 0.49) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 23.81% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
