National League Gameweek 23
Dec 11, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Boundary Park
  • Dylan Crowe 11' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 64' goal
  • Timmy Abraham 74' goal
  • goal Will Goodwin 52'
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 68'

Oldham Athletic vs Torquay United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Mike Fondop

Torquay United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Dag & Red 0 - 1 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Jarvis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result

Oldham Athletic 51.88% (+0.49)
Draw 24.31% (-0.09)
Torquay United 23.81% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.08% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.01% (+0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 81.16% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 18.84% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 49.72% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 50.28% (-0.31)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 64.96% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 35.04% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 28.22% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 71.78% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 51.87%
Draw 24.31%
Torquay United 23.81%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.2% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.12% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.14% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.31%
Torquay United
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.81%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Omar Ali 30' yellowcard
  • Ross Marshall 50' yellowcard
  • Brett McGavin 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Wyatt 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Hogan 43'
  • yellowcard Danny Gardner 55'
  • redcard Danny Gardner 74'
League One
Apr 23, 2005 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Eyres 25' goal
  • Gareth Owen 51' yellowcard
  • Chris Killen 70' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Hockley 41'
  • goal Adebayo Akinfenwa 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Hill 76'
League One
Nov 6, 2004 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leon Constantine 9' goal
  • Martin Gritton 71' goal