National League | Gameweek 23

Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Crowe (11' og.), Tollitt (64'), Abraham (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (52'), Jarvis (68' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torquay United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Torquay United
51.88% ( 0.49)	24.31% ( -0.08)	23.81% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08% (

-0.01)

48.92% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99% (

-0)

71.01% (

0.01)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.19)

18.84% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

0.31)

50.28% (

-0.31)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96% (

-0.35)

35.04% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

-0.37)

71.78% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 51.87%

Torquay United 23.81%

Draw 24.31%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Torquay United
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.87%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.81%