Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
20.89% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( -0.16) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.28% ( 0.35) | 34.71% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 56.67% ( -0.39) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( -0.09) | 65.75% ( 0.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.24) | 11.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.25% ( 0.51) | 36.75% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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