/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F22%2Faldlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
-
Oli Pendlebury
30'
-
Jacob Hutchinson
39'
-
Jordan Tunnicliffe
89'
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Paul Mullin
7'
-
Paul Mullin
23'
-
Corey Jordan
35'
(OG)
-
Sam Dalby
90'+6'
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F06%2Fphil-parkinson.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Aldershot Town
22.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
22.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Wrexham
54.21%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
56.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.81%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
43.19%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
34.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
65.59%
▲
(+0.06)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5
67.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
32.61%
Over 1.5
30.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
69.15%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
84.13%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
15.87%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
54.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
45.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Aldershot Town
22.99%
Draw
22.79%
Wrexham
54.21%
Aldershot Town
2-1
@
5.98%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.99%
1-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.99%
Draw
1-1
@
10.67%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.79%
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.79%
Wrexham
1-2
@
9.83%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.21%
0-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.21%
