National League Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Paul Mullin 24' goal
  • Paul Mullin 82' goal

Wrexham vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Aldershot 3 - 4 Wrexham
Goals scored
116
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 3 - 2 Dag & Red
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Joe Nuttall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 5.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 83.26% (+0.09)
Draw 11% (-0.06)
Scunthorpe United 5.74% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.13% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 27.87% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 51.42% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 48.58% (-0.09)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 95.16% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 4.84% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 80.51% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 19.49% (-0.09)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 50.89% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 49.11% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 15.97% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 84.03% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Wrexham 83.25%
Draw 11%
Scunthorpe United 5.74%
Wrexham
3-0 @ 11% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 8.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.05% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 83.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.12% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 11%
Scunthorpe United
1-2 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 5.74%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Jai Rowe 42' goal
  • goal Ollie Palmer 21'
  • goal Aaron Hayden 33'
  • goal Paul Mullin 70'