Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
83.26% ( 0.09) | 11% ( -0.05) | 5.74% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.13% ( 0.07) | 27.87% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.42% ( 0.08) | 48.58% ( -0.09) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.16% ( 0.03) | 4.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.51% ( 0.08) | 19.49% ( -0.09) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.89% ( -0.08) | 49.11% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.97% ( -0.05) | 84.03% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
3-0 @ 11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.08% Total : 83.25% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 11% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
3 | York City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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