Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 75.76% ( | 15.54% ( | 8.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( | 61.6% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.29% ( | 8.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.02% ( | 29.98% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.55% ( | 84.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 4-0 @ 6.4% ( 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 6-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.88% Total : 75.74% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 2-2 @ 3.15% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3.03% 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.71% |