Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
| 40.57% ( | 26.35% ( | 33.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( | 52.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( | 73.8% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( | 60.04% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( | 65.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.08% |