Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
40.57% ( -1.91) | 26.35% ( 0.43) | 33.08% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -1.35) | 52.08% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -1.18) | 73.8% ( 1.18) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( -1.57) | 25.28% ( 1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( -2.21) | 60.04% ( 2.21) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( 0.31) | 29.66% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( 0.37) | 65.71% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.48% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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