Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 0
York City

Kelly (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-1 Yeovil
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.

Result
EastleighDrawYork City
40.57% (-1.905 -1.91)26.35% (0.427 0.43)33.08% (1.479 1.48)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-1.349 -1.35)52.08% (1.35 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-1.178 -1.18)73.8% (1.178 1.18)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-1.572 -1.57)25.28% (1.573 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-2.211 -2.21)60.04% (2.212 2.21)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (0.30799999999999 0.31)29.66% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.371 0.37)65.71% (-0.371 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 40.57%
    York City 33.08%
    Draw 26.35%
EastleighDrawYork City
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 40.57%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.394 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.551 0.55)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.379 0.38)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
York City
0-1
Eastleigh
McKiernan (42')
Hesketh (22'), Panter (34')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
York City
3-1
Eastleigh
Parkin (7', 13'), Oliver (80')
Heslop (61')
Stearn (16')
Johnson (86')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm