Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | York City |
| 61.53% ( | 21.72% | 16.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( | 47.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( | 69.43% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( | 14.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( | 43.12% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( | 41.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% ( | 77.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.53% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.41% 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.75% |