Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 41.64% | 24.92% | 33.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( | 45.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( | 68.13% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( | 55.28% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( | 26.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( | 61.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0-1 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.44% |